经鸿之粟｜我院张燕教授合作论文在经济学国际一类期刊在线发表

This paper reveals that the reduction in the US-China trade deficit during the trade war obscured reporting discrepancies in US imports of Chinese products due to tariff evasion. We empirically examine the effect of the US-China trade war on tariff evasion in US imports of Chinese goods and provide direct evidence that market demand of entry states contributes significantly to tariff evasion. Using the input-output table, we find that a one standard deviation increase in local demand causes a 1.312-fold rise in tariff evasion for affected products post–trade war. This effect mainly works through intermediate goods, and its impact grows as importers' tariff liabilities increase. Further analysis considering local social environments shows that voters' attitudes toward trade protection and the development of labor unions play crucial roles in mediating the influence of market demand on tariff evasion.

张燕，上海财经大学经济学院宏观经济系主任，教授，主要研究领域为国际经济学、中国经济问题，截至目前已在国内外知名经济学期刊Journal of International Economics 、Journal of Comparative Economics 、Canadian journal of Economics 、《经济学（季刊）》 等发表二十多篇论文；主持完成了国家自然科学基金项目、省部级项目等多项；获得安子介国际贸易研究奖及上海市哲学社会科学学科优秀成果奖。