经鸿之粟 | 经济学院林董林同学获评第二十五届中国经济学年会博士毕业生“学术新星”

论文摘要

This paper reveals that the reduction in the US-China trade deficit during the trade war obscured reporting discrepancies in US imports of Chinese products due to tariff evasion. We empirically examine the effect of the US-China trade war on tariff evasion in US imports of Chinese goods and provide direct evidence that market demand of entry states contributes significantly to tariff evasion. Using the input-output table, we find that a one standard deviation increase in local demand causes a 1.312-fold rise in tariff evasion for affected products post–trade war. This effect mainly works through intermediate goods, and its impact grows as importers' tariff liabilities increase. Further analysis considering local social environments shows that voters' attitudes toward trade protection and the development of labor unions play crucial roles in mediating the influence of market demand on tariff evasion.

学生简介

林董林，上海财经大学经济学院2021级人口、资源环境经济学直博生，博士导师为张燕教授。现已有文章发表在国际一类期刊Journal of International Economics。曾撰写决策咨询获全国政协及上海市主要领导批示，并参与多项国家与省市级社科基金项。

导师简介

张燕，上海财经大学经济学院宏观经济系主任，博士生导师、教授；上海市普陀区商务委副主任（正处级，挂职）。主要研究领域为国际贸易，截至目前已在国内外知名经济学期刊Journal of International Economics 、Journal of Comparative Economics 、Canadian journal of Economics  等发表二十多篇论文；完成著作一部、教材一部，并主持完成了国家自然科学基金项目、省部级决策咨询研究项目十多项；获得安子介国际贸易研究奖及上海市哲学社会科学学科优秀成果奖。作为政策实践者，2024-2025年担任上海市浦东新区商务委副主任；截至目前，十多篇决策咨询报告获中央及省部级领导采纳批示。