【主题】Transborder Effects of Poverty on Crime: Evidence from China
【报告人】万广华（教授，复旦大学世界经济研究所）
【时间】2023年6月20日周二14:00-15:30
【地点】经济学院701室
【语言】中文
【摘要】“Poverty is the mother of crime”, but existing literature has not yet analyzed the effect of local poverty on crimes in other jurisdictions. Based on 1992-2012 provincial data from China, this paper examines the transborder effects of poverty on crimes, by estimating spatial econometric models. Poverty is found to not only increase local crime, but also raise crime rates in other provinces. This spillover effect is more pronounced between provinces with close geographical proximity, high labor mobility and high dialect similarity. In addition, we compare the effects of increased police spending versus Dibao on poverty-related local and transborder crimes, finding that both can reduce poverty-related local crimes, but only Dibao can reduce poverty-related transborder crimes. The main policy implications of this paper are twofold. First, poverty alleviation can address both the symptoms and the root causes of local and external crimes, with broader and lasting effects than raising police spending. Thus, cross-border resource transfers shall target poverty alleviation; Second, poverty alleviation is not only a concerns of the poor areas, but also a challenge for relatively developed areas in terms of crime governance.
【报告人简介】万广华，经济学博士，复旦大学世界经济研究所所长、教授。工作经历跨越著名高校（悉尼大学）、国际机构（联合国）、多边金融机构（亚行）和著名智库（ADBI在全球由政府资助的智库中排名第二）。根据RePEc排名，在全球经济学家中居前8%，在亚洲居前4%。数次进入《世界名人录》。由他主持出版的智库报告《绿色城市化》和《亚洲贫困“奇迹”》在政策界引起了相当的反响。是最早提出“三农”问题需要在城市解决（2006-2008年间）、中国城市化是解决贫困和收入差距问题唯一途径（2006-2008年）、中国的国际发展环境将会越来越严峻（2009-2010年）的经济学家。在国内外著名学术刊物上发表高质量论文100多篇，出版专著10多部（牛津大学出版社、麦克米伦出版社、三联出版社、社会科学文献出版社）。其中，30余项成果是关于国际经济学和国别经济的，60多篇发表于SSCI和SCI杂志上。曾获ANBAR电子数据库（涵盖400余种国际学术期刊）授予的“最佳论文奖”。多次获得省部级研究奖，包括张培刚发展经济学著作奖。