【主题】Skill Mismatch, Structural Unemployment and Industrial Dynamics
【报告人】王勇（教授，北京大学新结构经济学研究院）
【时间】2023年6月13日周二14:00-15:30
【地点】经济学院801室
【语言】英文
【摘要】We develop a multi-industry growth model with labor market mismatch to explore the interaction between life-cycle industry dynamics, aggregate unemployment rate and economic growth. We show that, without any exogenous aggregate shocks, the aggregate unemployment rate exhibits recurrent cycles along with the perpetual structural change, which is in turn driven by capital accumulation. Experienced workers in an old industry lose their industry-specific expertise when they are relocated to a more capital-intensive industry and suffer mismatch, so the aggregate unemployment rate rises. However, these workers gradually become experienced through on-the-job learning, so mismatch attenuates and the aggregate unemployment rate declines, till the sunrise industry itself becomes a sunset one and workers have to move to an even more capital-intensive industry, so the unemployment rate rises again, ad infinitum. We analytically characterize the properties of dynamic labor market performance, life-cycle dynamics of each of the underlying infinite industries, and the aggregate consumption growth rates. We show that the model predictions are consistent with data.
【报告人简介】王勇，教授，北京大学新结构经济学研究院学术副院长、博士生导师。曾任职于香港科技大学经济系与世界银行。芝加哥大学经济系博士，北京大学国家发展研究院硕士，复旦大学世界经济系学士。主要研究兴趣为经济增长、产业升级、宏观发展、中国与印度经济、新结构经济学。论文发表于Journal of Development Economics, Journal of Monetary Economics等国际学术期刊以及《经济学（季刊）》、《世界经济》、《中国工业经济》等国内期刊。China and the World Economy (SSCI)共同主编，Economic Modelling (SSCI)副主编，Latin American Journal of Central Banking副主编，VoxChina编辑部成员，China Economic Review，China Agricultural Economic Review，Structural Change and Economic Dynamics，《经济学（季刊）》等期刊特邀编辑。担任世界银行、亚洲开发银行与美国联邦储备银行等机构的顾问，新结构经济学研究联盟秘书长，中华外国经济学说研究会发展经济学分会副会长，哈尔滨工业大学（深圳）特聘教授、辽宁大学客座教授。著有《新结构经济学思与辩》、《新结构经济学新在何处》、《产业政策: 总结、反思与展望》、《新结构经济学研习方法》、《论中国经济的发展》、《新结构经济学：理论溯源与经典文献》、《新结构经济学视角下的区域高质量发展与产业升级》、《新结构经济学视角下的知识产权战略：理论与案例》等。荣获2020年教育部第八届高校科学研究优秀成果一等奖，2018年首届张培刚发展经济学青年学者奖，香港科技大学商学院Franklin最佳教学奖。