经鸿之粟｜宁磊教授合作论文在经济学国际一类期刊正式发表

Over the past three decades, China has experienced substantial reductions in social security benefits due to pension reforms and undergone profound demographic changes. By combining empirical studies and quantitative analyses in a general equilibrium setting, this paper examines the effects of China’s pension reforms and rapid population aging on household saving and labor supply behaviors. Calibrating the model to the Chinese economy, we find that the pension reforms alone account for approximately 25 percent of the increase in the household saving rate between 1995 and 2009, and 49 percent of the sharp rise in labor supply over the same period. These effects are significantly amplified by rapid aging. Our study demonstrates that both household saving and labor supply serve as quantitatively important self-insurance channels in response to changes in pension generosity and longevity risk.

宁磊，上海财经大学经济学院教授、博士生导师，研究方向为宏观经济学，中国经济。在International Economic Review、Journal of Public Economics, Macroeconomic Dynamics等英文期刊，《管理世界》《经济学（季刊）》《中国工业经济》等中文期刊发表论文多篇；主持2项国家自然科学基金。