CCTV-NEWS:赵克锋:China Shopping Frenzy

发布者:admin发布时间:2015-11-13浏览次数:368

采访视频链接:http://english.cntv.cn/2015/11/13/VIDE1447366947584255.shtml

Q1 Professor, what new consumption trends did you notice this year?

Alibaba continues to be the largest player this year. It captured about 80% of market share that day. I was at the scene in Alibaba witnessing the sales figures climbing up at astonishing speed. Total sales that day doubles the online sales figure of the Thanksgiving Day in the States.  And total sales that day this year is about 5% of Alibaba’s annual sales last year! Counting this year, online sales averaged out for more than 50% annual growth in the past five years.

Other exact data are still coming out. But in the past years, the stores that were most likely to give discounts are clothing, shoes, and furniture. Especially for clothes, over 50% of the stores gave discount. And the type of goods that gave the highest discount was usually books. People aged from 20-29 had been the strongest base of customers but we are seeing more and more older people joining the force as more of them use smartphones now.

In fact over 70% of the sales were completed using mobile devices this year. And one highlight this year is that more than 200 countries joined this online festival. Not just city people but tens of millions of villagers in China joined this year’s festival too.


Q2 Alibaba also pointed to a new growth point in rural areas, with orders there surging. What’s your take on that? Where do you see the most market potential?

For the first time 8000 Taobao villages in China joined this year’s festival. Now Alibaba is not just talking about O2O but pushing the “All-Channel” strategy.  They are not bringing things just from offline to online but connecting traditional businesses online through all channels, and cutting all unnecessary intermediaries, especially from rural areas to cities.

In some Taobao villages, through Taobao’s new Cainiao logistics network, was able to deliver the goods in two hours. Based on big data, Taobao was able to predict sales accurately.  Here is one scenario actually happened. In three minutes the order was completed. In five minutes the package was already in the truck. In 15 minutes, the truck hit the road.

About the growth points, there is a huge potential for the F2C model, that is, the factory to customer model. F can also stand for farms. It is picking up speed this year, the Kerry Group is selling cooking oil that takes only 72 hours from the production line to the customers. And for the Farms to Customers model, the biggest barrier continues to be food safety. But we are seeing hope. During President Xi’s tenure in Zhejiang, he has visited two times the Shuichang County in Zhejiang. Now Shuichang has been one of the most successful Taobao villages that are not just about selling agriculture produce to cities. It is about a credit worthy ecosystem in which it is incentive compatible for farmers to send the best and least contaminated food to the cities.

Don’t be mistaken. Villagers are no longer that poor in some parts of China. Home appliances continue to be an important sales component accounting for 40% of the top 10 goods in terms of sales. But cars account for 20% of the top 10 goods in terms of sales too. In fact, some sales were actually for the luxury brand Porsche! That day, the best performing provinces are Zhejiang, Shandong and Fujian.  And 80% the top 10 best performing counties are all from Zhejiang and Jiangsu. All in terms of sales.


中文翻译如下:
    问题一:教授,您注意到今年有哪些新的消费趋势?
    阿里巴巴仍是今年最大的参与者,囊括了双十一当天交易额的80%左右。双十一当日,我在阿里巴巴总部现场见证了以惊人速度攀升的销售数据:当天的销售额达到美国感恩节假期销售规模的两倍,并且相当于阿里巴巴去年全年销售业绩的5%。包括今年在内,线上销售在过去五年平均年度增幅起码超过50%。
    其他确切的数据仍在不断更新中。从商品销售的角度看,在过去几年中,服装业、鞋业和家具业是打折促销的主力参与者,特别是服装行业,超过半数的商铺参与促销。而折扣力度最大的当属图书类商品。从消费者构成来看,年龄在20到29岁的群体是最强劲的消费者。同时,得益于智能手机的普及,更高年龄段的人群也越来越多地加入到网络消费大军。
    事实上,今年超过70%的销售额是通过移动设备完成的。今年的另一大亮点是全球超过200个国家参与了这场网购盛宴。在中国不只是城镇居民,数以万计的农村居民也参与了这次双十一购物节。
 
    问题二:阿里巴巴还提到,伴随订单量的飞涨,农村地区已经成为新的增长点。对此您有什么看法?您认为哪里最具市场潜力?
    今年的双十一狂欢节第一次有了8000多个淘宝村参与其中。现如今,阿里巴巴不只着眼于O2O领域,而是提出并推进“全渠道”战略。阿里不只是在进行线上到线下的商品销售,更是在通过多种渠道实现传统商业的线上融合,同时砍掉不必要的中间环节,特别是城乡之间。
    通过新生的菜鸟物流网络,一些淘宝村已经能够实现两小时内货物交付。基于大数据运算,淘宝可以对销售情况进行精准预测。一个真实的场景是:三分钟内完成订单审核,五分钟内打包装箱,十五分钟内货运车已经配送在途。
    至于增长点,我认为F2C的商业模式具有巨大的潜力。该模式是指由厂商(factory)直达消费者(consumer)的电子商务模式,此处的F也可以指农场(farm)。今年F2C模式正开始加速,嘉里集团销售的食用油仅需72小时就可以从生产线送上消费者的餐桌。就农场直配的消费模式而言,最大的发展障碍仍然是食品安全,但是我们已经看到改善的希望。习近平主席在主政浙江期间,曾两度访问遂昌县。现在,遂昌县已经成为最成功的淘宝村之一,且业务范围不只局限于向城市进行农产品销售。它已经成为一个可信赖的生态系统,在这里农民有激励将最好和污染最少的食品销往城市。
    但是不要误解,在一些地区,农民早已摆脱贫困。家电行业仍是重要的销售组成部分,占据了商品销售榜前十位商品销售额的四成,与此同时,汽车的销售额也占到20%的水平。事实上,诸如保时捷这样的奢侈品牌也已成为销售的对象。在双十一当日,以销售额来计算,表现最为突出的三个省份是浙江、山东和福建,而位于销售榜前十的县城有80%来自浙江和江苏两省。

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