【主讲】宋晓军 (助教授,北大光华管理学院)
【主题】Covariate Distribution Balance via Propensity Scores
【时间】2018年10月19日 (周五) 15:30-17:00
【地点】上海财经大学经济学院楼701室
【语言】英文
【摘要】The propensity score plays an important role in causal inference with observational data. Once the propensity score is available, one can use it to estimate a variety of causal effects in a unied setting. Despite this appeal, a main practical difficulty arises because the propensity score is usually unknown, has to be estimated, and extreme propensity score estimates can distort inference procedures. To address these limitations, this article proposes to estimate the propensity score by fully exploiting its covariate balancing property; we call the resulting estimator the integrated propensity score (IPS) as it is based on integrated moment conditions. In sharp contrast with other methods that balance only some specic moments of covariates, the IPS aims to balance all functions of covariates. Nonetheless, the IPS estimator is fully data-driven, does not rely on tuning parameters such as bandwidths, admits an asymptotic linear representation, and is root-n-consistent and asymptotically normal. We derive the asymptotic properties of inverse probability weighted estimators for the average, distributional and quantile treatment effects based on the IPS, and illustrate their relative performance via Monte Carlo simulations and three empirical applications. An implementation of the proposed methods is provided in the new package IPS for R.
