【主讲】Joshua Miller (助教授，阿利坎特大学经济学院)
【主题】The Hot Hand Fallacy
【时间】2018年10月30日 (周二) 14：00-17：30
【地点】上海财经大学经济学院楼701室
【语言】英文
【摘要】The hot hand fallacy has long been considered a massive and widespread cognitive illusion with important implications for decision making. We uncover a subtle, but critical, statistical bias that invalidates previous evidence supporting the hot hand fallacy in its canonical domain, basketball shooting. We re-assess and re-analyze basketball shooting and betting data. We find that the hot hand exists, and that players can bet on it successfully.
