【主讲】Gu Yizhen (中国人民大学)
【主题】The Effects of Driving Restrictions on Travel Demand: Evidence from Beijing
【时间】2015年10月21日 (周三) 15：30-17：00
【地点】上海财经大学经济学院楼801室
【语言】英文
【摘要】We examine the effects of Beijing’s driving restrictions on individual travel demand. Since April 11, 2009, one day each week, a car may not be used within the 5th Ring Road from 7 am to 8 pm, with the restricted day depending on the license plate number. Using the 2010 Beijing Household Travel Survey data, we find that driving restrictions decrease the probability of auto use about 10%. Some households find other ways to use cars during the restricted day, mainly substitute towards unrestricted period, area, or vehicles. Men, workers with fixed work schedules, and low-income drivers are more likely to seek out ways to use cars. This suggests differential demand for auto use and willingness to pay for it, which is not addressed by the current policy. Driving restrictions alter the travel patterns of even non-drivers, who reduce their trips on days when congestion is higher (i.e., on days that restrict plates ending in ‘4’, since relatively few plates display this ‘unlucky’ number).
